Women
bouncing strong into tournament; men may need luck
Commentary
By Danny Horne
Skiff Staff
Schedule strength, ranking in the rating percentage index (RPI),
tough road wins and key losses. Its time for every prospective
NCAA Tournament team to pull out the résumé. Its
the tournament or burst for all those bubble teams teetering on
the brink of elimination.
Well,
not quite yet.
Selection
Sunday is less than a week away, but theres drama to be had
all over the country as teams vie for automatic bids and those precious
few at-large positions in the field of 65 or 64 in the case of the
women.
Championship
Week brings what many schools will live or die by, the conference
tournament. For womens basketball, the tourney tips off today,
while the men play Thursday.
The
women enter the tourney as the top seed for the first time in the
programs history. The Frogs (21-7, 13-3 WAC) will play the
winner of the play-in game between San Jose State and Texas-El Paso,
the two teams at the bottom of the conference.
The
men (20-10, 9-7 WAC), by virtue of their win against Southern Methodist
and UTEPs win over Hawaii Saturday, are the No.
4 seed and will face Hawaii in the first round.
The
only similarity between the two squads going into the conference
tourney is that both teams are headed to Tulsa, Okla.
However,
these two will be headed in completely different directions come
Selection Sunday.
Simply
put, the women are headed for another program first, a bid in the
NCAAs. The men are hoping and praying not to miss the postseason
for the second straight year under head coach Billy Tubbs.
I
know I skipped over the fleeting chance the Horned Frog men could,
by an act of divinity, upset the likes of Fresno State and Tulsa
in the tournament.
Thats
because it wont happen. Sorry, guys.
Ill
give credit where credit is due. The game in Dallas against those
Ponies was impressive. Overcoming a 10-point deficit on the road
is never easy, especially without two of the leading scorers. There
was a lot of heart exhibited on the court, and thats to be
commended.
However,
that comeback is not enough to impress the committee into a bid.
The
venue of the tournament is reason enough to believe the men could
be bound to National Invitation Tournament at best. Whens
the last time TCU won at the Reynolds Center?
I
dont know either.
Well,
I do, but its almost better not to bring it up because theyve
never won there. Not many teams have won in Tulsa since the Reynolds
Center opened Dec. 29, 1998. In fact, the Golden Hurricane men are
34-4 at home since that date.
Three
of those 34 wins have come at the expense of TCU. The Horned Frogs
have lost by an average of more than 19 points in those three games,
including a 103-70 loss last season and most recently, 82-66, Jan.
17.
That
doesnt bode well for Horned Frog fans. That doesnt bode
well for anybody hoping to steal the automatic bid from the WAC.
Only
two teams have won in Tulsa this season, Fresno State and Creighton.
Nope, that doesnt mean Fresno State has the tournament locked
up. The Bulldogs very well could win the tournament on the strength
players like Melvin Ely and Tito Maddox, who were awarded WAC Player
of the Year and Newcomer of the Year respectively.
But
if two of Fresnos last three road games were any indication,
that teams in some trouble. The Bulldogs lost convincingly
at TCU and UTEP by an average of 16 points. However, theyve
won four straight including a win against Tulsa in Fresno.
Barring
any major upsets, Fresno State and Tulsa are on course for a meeting
in the conference championship. Call it a hunch, but its just
too tough to win in Tulsa, especially twice.
So
that leaves the women.
Head
womens coach Jeff Mittie shrugged off what has become quite
the monkey on the back of the TCU basketball programs by simply
pointing out that his squad picked up a scant four-point win Feb.
2. It should be said that the Tulsa women have been complete opposite
of their male counterparts at the Reynolds Center going a meek 4-11
this season.
Perhaps
he and his team have reason to exhibit such a confident air. After
his version of the Frogs completed a 21-7 season and went 13-3 in
the WAC, the Frogs seem poised for at least an at-large bid, if
not a run through the tournament for the automatic bid.
Simply
put a better RPI, key wins against SMU and Hawaii and a competitive
game with No. 1 Tennessee the womens résumé
is far more attractive than the men, whose résumé
package features quality losses to Rice (twice) and San Jose State.
Add
a conference tourney championship to the womens accolades,
and they will be dancing.
Associate
Editor Danny Horne is a senior broadcast journalism major from Carrollton.
He can be reached at (d.m.horne@student.tcu.edu).
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