Mens
NCAA bid all but lost
An Analysis
By Sam Eaton
With
the TCU mens basketball teams one-point loss in overtime
Saturday, the chance for an at-large bid to the NCAA Tournament
has all but disappeared.
For
the second time in the school year, the Frogs came up short in a
major sporting contest that took place in San Jose, Calif. The first,
of course, was the football teams first loss of the season
that knocked it out of the nations top 10.
And
Saturday night, it happened again. Fighting for their lives, the
Frogs fell to the Spartans, 91-90, in overtime.
Despite
a 102-87 loss to Hawaii last Thursday on the islands, the Frogs
still had a legitimate shot at a NCAA Tournament
bid.
Now
it looks like their only chance to make the big dance will be at
the Western Athletic Conference Tournament next week in Tulsa, Okla.
Fresno State will be in the NCAA Tournament no matter what happens
because theyve been tough all season. The Bulldogs will probably
be the only WAC team in the NCAA Tournament if they win the conference
tournament, but Tulsa could be the favorite on its home court. After
two straight wins, TCU has lost two in a row. In a week, the Frogs
Rating Percentage Index ranking dropped from 49 to 66. That, along
with a 7-7 conference record, wont get it done.
The
RPI measures all NCAA Division I basketball teams based on record
and strength of schedule. The strength of schedule
is determined by figuring the combined records of all a teams
opponents and the opponents opponents.
It
is a primary gauge the NCAA Selection Committee uses to decide which
teams get at-large bids. Wins against Division II teams do not count
in the RPI.
But
TCU hasnt been completely eliminated. Both of the Frogs
remaining games are against better WAC teams Texas-El Paso
and Southern Methodist. These games will help the Frogs strength
of schedule, which is a major factor in the RPI.
If
the Frogs can find a way to win both of those and get some help
to finish in a multi-way tie for second in the conference, their
tourney chances would rise.
Another
factor the selection committee looks at is a teams road and
neutral court records. The Frogs are now 2-7 on the road and 1-2
on a neutral court.
Playing
only two non-conference road games may have hurt the Frogs in preparing
for the conference schedule. They defeated Texas-San Antonio and
lost to Butler in December.
Sam
Eaton is a junior broadcast journalism major from San Diego.
He can be reached at (s.m.eaton@student.tcu.edu).
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