for Democratic nomination not over
two wins for Kerry, Clark could still pull through
Kerry has won New Hampshire, and you may be thinking
that the race is effectively over. After all, hes
two for two thus far. Howard Deans poll numbers
are slipping almost everywhere. Kerry will roll into
the Feb. 3 primaries and come away with a commanding
But as the noted philosopher Lee Corso says, Not
so fast, my friend.
Kerry should have won both those states. He moved his
entire staff to Iowa for the caucuses and is a senator
from Massachusetts, where many people in New Hampshire
commute to work. At the very least, they identify themselves
with their fellow New England state. Kerry didnt
spend any money on the seven Feb. 3 primary states before
New Hampshire. He doesnt even have the most committed
OK, so if its not Kerry and, hey, Ill
admit it still might be then who? The media wont
let Loud Howard shake his angry
label, so discount his chances. Instead, look at the
guy who finished third in New Hampshire and first amongst
those outside New England.
I present to you General Wesley Clark.
Despite his lack of Joementum like Senator
Joe Lieberman, Clark stands to capitalize if Kerry or
Dean falters. Hes spent almost $1 million on ads
in the next seven primary states. Hes from Arkansas,
and is leading polls coming out of neighboring Oklahoma.
Hes also within two percentage points of Dean
Clark can also match Bush strength against strength
in the national election. Bushs campaign will
probably focus on safer borders, an Iraq with elections,
and Libya backing down without a fight. Clark can counter
with his extensive military record.
Dean is the candidate who is getting the strongest response
from people who list the war in Iraq as their top complaint.
The other major candidates voted for the war in Iraq.
Logically, many of the voters who think that Howard
Dean is mentally unsuited for the presidency will slide
over to the Clark camp. Of course, since when does logic
factor into this?
Moreover, Clark has been a Republican until very recently.
No candidate is better equipped to reach across party
lines to woo republicans dissatisfied with Bush than
one of their own.
Dont listen to the pundits. This race is far from
over. Should Clark win in Oklahoma and Arizona, hell
be set for the long haul. And one last fact I picked
up: No democrat has swept a contested Iowa caucus and
New Hampshire primary then gone on to win the White
Patrick Jennings is a junior economics major from Melbourne,